Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Updated Electoral Map!!!

By: Hamilton Ryan

Hey everyone, and welcome back to my site. I just wanted to update my picks for how the states will vote in the election. Below you will see an updated version of the map, and I will start updating it every week to let you see how the polls are changing the layout. I might even update it twice a week. Below the map you will find my reasons for choosing certain states. Please feel free to read and comment.






As you can see, I have a lot of swing states going into Senator Obama's favor, and I have him winning by a very large margin (333 Obama to 205 John McCain). Let me explain why I picked certain states to go in the direction that they are going in.

Florida: I have watched the waves of change sweep across Florida. From adults who are looking for a way out of the devastating effects of the plunging economy, to the students who are just looking to make college a little more affordable. I have watched as those same students have taken ownership of this campaign, and decided that this nation needs the real change that Barack Obama provides. CNN's Poll today reported that Florida is now in Obama's favor by 4 percent, which is up from 2 percent just a few days ago. It is well known that if a candidate wins Hillsborough County, which is the Tampa area, than that candidate will win the state of Florida. Last I heard, Obama was up by 6 percent in Hillsborough County. All of these numbers taken into consideration, along with the increase in student involvement as well as excitement should deliver this state into Obama's hands come November 4th.

Virginia: This is a state that has not voted Democratic since 1964, but you can look for it to go blue, in my opinion, this election season. Early on this year McCain enjoyed a pretty good lead, but I watched as that lead slowly eroded to a tie, and now Obama has a 9 point lead in the polls in Virginia. He has held that spot now for about a month. The only time his lead has changed is when it went up to 9 points today. I would certainly look for this state to stay the same over the next 34 days.

Ohio: Early on in the Primary Season, the people of this state made it very clear that their main concern was the economy. This is one issue that has truly grown in importance over the past few weeks. I believe you can see this state turn blue after watching the stock market drop -777.69 points the other day, which by the way is the largest drop in American History! As the economy continues to need help, the people nationwide continue to vote on who they feel is best to take care of the situation. Obama still has a national lead over McCain on this issue.